Third-order effects and software systems
At the height of the Cold War, the United States passed the Federal Aid Highway Act of 1956, giving birth to the Interstate Highway System. Fueled by the fear of foreign attack and the need to quickly transport troops and equipment across the continent, the network of protected access highways ended up transforming the nation’s economy and culture forever.
It was perhaps easy to predict a first-order effect: people would travel longer distances given the ease of doing so. A second-order effect was perhaps also easy to foresee: people would be much more likely to work or shop further away from home.
Read more